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About
When I was 46 I started writing essays on life, or the state of
the human condition as I once called it. Because I was halfway
between old enough to vote (21) and planned retirement (72) it
was known as the "Halfway Point" series of essays.
Later when I mentioned the essays in one context or another on
USENET, I got requests for copies and eventually for
future essays. Thus the mailing list was born, and it moved to
the Internet when that became widely available. At that time I
moved to writing on a schedule, the 1st, 11th, and 21st of the
month.
Now the trend is to "blogs," and read on demand. I am therefore
making this available as a blog, and we shall see if people read
it here, or by mail, or not at all.
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A more stimulating stimulus package (06:42)
There has been a lot of talk about a 2nd economic stimulus package, as part
of the effort to get money moving. I have been looking at the probable
results of the proposed plan,
and it seems there is a far better way to help the economy while
spending far fewer taxpayer dollars.
What got me thinking is the effect of spending a dollar in various
ways. If you put a dollar in the bank, it may be loaned to another
customer to spend again, but in many cases "the buck stops here." A
dollar spent on services, or foreign goods, will have a "fan out" ratio
of about three. However, a dollar spent on American made manufactured
goods has a
fan-out of about eleven! So those dollars help a lot more people and
businesses than other purchases, And I have a way to make that
happen.
The last stimulus was a "shotgun" approach, with the thought that if
you give enough people enough money, some of them will spend it on something. That is poor targeting
at the very least. Since the goal is to make things better for as many
people as possible, for the fewest taxpayer dollars, let's make sure
that people spend their free money
on those American made goods. And rather than trying to keep people
from
spending on the wrong thing, we only pay them if they do pick the right thing.
The essential difference between plans is to make the stimulus a
rebate, rather than an unconditional gift. People will buy
things with their own money, get a receipt which asserts that the goods
are American made manufactured goods, and then the government will pay
them back. The
seller
must certify that the product is made in America (minimum content and
labor percentages), and the buyer submits the bill of sale with a simple form, and gets a tax credit.
And the beauty of it is that it encourages vendors to clearly identify
American made goods, and buyers to look for them, because the seller
wants the
sale, and the buyer is spending personal money, and will be careful to
qualify for the rebate.
The politicians who just want to give away the people's money will say
this is too complex, too expensive, or doesn't benefit everybody
because some people don't need any major manufactured goods, some
retailers sell virtually all foreign made goods, and voters won't think
you solved the problem unless you just hand them back some of their
own money and call it a gift. Start with the "complex" issue,
manufacturers have been doing
rebates for years, and people figure them out very well. So how is
telling people "we give you free money if you ask
for it and spend it wisely" too complex for consumers? Or is it just
too
effective for politicians?
To the criticism that not all people will have the need for these
goods, of the funds to take advantage of the package, or that some
retailers don't sell American made goods, I say "so what?" The object
is to stimulate the economy and create consumer demand, not to be a
social program which benefits people who will not put the money to the
intended use. And as for vendors who make billions selling goods made
overseas, many of which were made in America until the manufacturing
was outsourced, I have no sympathy for them, nor the formerly American
companies who provide their goods. Let the package benefit the American
taxpayers and workers, it's their money.
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